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Florida Governor Republican Primary Second Place
Top outcomes
Jay Collins
59%
Other
50%
Candidate A
50%
Candidate B
50%
This market will resolve according to the individual who places second in the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
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$12K Vol.
Closes Aug 18, 2026
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$11.7k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$12K Vol.
Jay Collins
59% market probability
59%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 59%
+41 / −59
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 41%
+59 / −41
Other
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate A
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate B
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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0 / 2,000
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Candidate C
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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0 / 2,000
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Candidate D
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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0 / 2,000
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Candidate E
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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0 / 2,000
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Candidate F
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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0 / 2,000
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James Fishback
22% market probability
22%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 22%
+78 / −22
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 78%
+22 / −78
Explain your Yes on James Fishback
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0 / 2,000
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Daniel Nokovich
6% market probability
6%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 94%
+6 / −94
Explain your Yes on Daniel Nokovich
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0 / 2,000
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Caneste Succe
5% market probability
5%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 5%
+95 / −5
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 95%
+5 / −95
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0 / 2,000
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James Walker Shaw
5% market probability
5%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 5%
+95 / −5
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 95%
+5 / −95
Explain your Yes on James Walker Shaw
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0 / 2,000
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Paul Renner
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Paul Renner
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0 / 2,000
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Rachel Rodriguez
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Rachel Rodriguez
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0 / 2,000
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Bobby Williams
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Bobby Williams
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Arthur Joseph McCaffrey
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Arthur Joseph McCaffrey
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0 / 2,000
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Jim Holcomb
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Jim Holcomb
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0 / 2,000
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Byron Donalds
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Byron Donalds
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0 / 2,000
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