Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? Trump out as President before 2027? Will Base launch a token by ___ ? Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...? Putin out as President of Russia by...? Pro Football: 2027 NFC Champion Pro Football: 2027 AFC Champion F1 Constructors' Champion Iran full airspace closure by...? UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch? Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Will Hamas agree to disarm by...? Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? LALIGA: 2027 Champion Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...? Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...? Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? Bitcoin all time high by ___?
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? Trump out as President before 2027? Will Base launch a token by ___ ? Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...? Putin out as President of Russia by...? Pro Football: 2027 NFC Champion Pro Football: 2027 AFC Champion F1 Constructors' Champion Iran full airspace closure by...? UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch? Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Will Hamas agree to disarm by...? Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? LALIGA: 2027 Champion Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...? Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...? Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? Bitcoin all time high by ___?
Open Polymarket

Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026?

Top outcomes

1000+ 34%
840-879 12%
880-919 10%
960-999 9%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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$22K Vol. Closes Nov 1, 2026

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$22.3k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$22K Vol.

1000+

34% market probability

34%

Explain your Yes on 1000+ Explain your No on 1000+ (optional)

0 / 2,000

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840-879

12% market probability

12%

Explain your Yes on 840-879 Explain your No on 840-879 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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880-919

10% market probability

10%

Explain your Yes on 880-919 Explain your No on 880-919 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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960-999

9% market probability

9%

Explain your Yes on 960-999 Explain your No on 960-999 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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920-959

8% market probability

8%

Explain your Yes on 920-959 Explain your No on 920-959 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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800-839

8% market probability

8%

Explain your Yes on 800-839 Explain your No on 800-839 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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780-799

6% market probability

6%

Explain your Yes on 780-799 Explain your No on 780-799 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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700-719

4% market probability

4%

Explain your Yes on 700-719 Explain your No on 700-719 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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720-739

3% market probability

3%

Explain your Yes on 720-739 Explain your No on 720-739 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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760-779

3% market probability

3%

Explain your Yes on 760-779 Explain your No on 760-779 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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740-759

3% market probability

3%

Explain your Yes on 740-759 Explain your No on 740-759 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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680-699

2% market probability

2%

Explain your Yes on 680-699 Explain your No on 680-699 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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660-679

2% market probability

2%

Explain your Yes on 660-679 Explain your No on 660-679 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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640-659

1% market probability

1%

Explain your Yes on 640-659 Explain your No on 640-659 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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580-599

1% market probability

1%

Explain your Yes on 580-599 Explain your No on 580-599 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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600-619

1% market probability

1%

Explain your Yes on 600-619 Explain your No on 600-619 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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540-559

1% market probability

1%

Explain your Yes on 540-559 Explain your No on 540-559 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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620-639

1% market probability

1%

Explain your Yes on 620-639 Explain your No on 620-639 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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560-579

1% market probability

1%

Explain your Yes on 560-579 Explain your No on 560-579 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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480-499

1% market probability

1%

Explain your Yes on 480-499 Explain your No on 480-499 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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500-519

1% market probability

1%

Explain your Yes on 500-519 Explain your No on 500-519 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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520-539

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on 520-539 Explain your No on 520-539 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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300-319

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on 300-319 Explain your No on 300-319 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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80-99

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on 80-99 Explain your No on 80-99 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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120-139

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on 120-139 Explain your No on 120-139 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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140-159

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on 140-159 Explain your No on 140-159 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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160-179

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on 160-179 Explain your No on 160-179 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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180-199

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on 180-199 Explain your No on 180-199 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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200-219

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on 200-219 Explain your No on 200-219 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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220-239

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on 220-239 Explain your No on 220-239 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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240-259

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on 240-259 Explain your No on 240-259 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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260-279

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on 260-279 Explain your No on 260-279 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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280-299

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on 280-299 Explain your No on 280-299 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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320-339

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on 320-339 Explain your No on 320-339 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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340-359

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on 340-359 Explain your No on 340-359 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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360-379

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on 360-379 Explain your No on 360-379 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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380-399

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on 380-399 Explain your No on 380-399 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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400-419

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on 400-419 Explain your No on 400-419 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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420-439

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on 420-439 Explain your No on 420-439 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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440-459

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on 440-459 Explain your No on 440-459 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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460-479

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on 460-479 Explain your No on 460-479 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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<20

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on <20 Explain your No on <20 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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20-39

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on 20-39 Explain your No on 20-39 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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40-59

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on 40-59 Explain your No on 40-59 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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60-79

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on 60-79 Explain your No on 60-79 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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100-119

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on 100-119 Explain your No on 100-119 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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