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CXMT IPO Closing Market Cap Above __?

Top outcomes

↑ 1T yuan 99%
↑ 1.5T yuan 96%
↑ 2T yuan 88%
↑ 2.5T yuan 66%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if CXMT's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading is greater than or equal to the listed value. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No”. Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page. The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading. In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.

$83K Vol. Closes Dec 31, 2026

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$82.5k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$83K Vol.

↑ 1T yuan

99% market probability

99%

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0 / 2,000

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↑ 1.5T yuan

96% market probability

96%

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0 / 2,000

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↑ 2T yuan

88% market probability

88%

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0 / 2,000

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↑ 2.5T yuan

66% market probability

66%

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0 / 2,000

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↑ 3T yuan

36% market probability

36%

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0 / 2,000

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↑ 3.5T yuan

22% market probability

22%

Explain your Yes on ↑ 3.5T yuan Explain your No on ↑ 3.5T yuan (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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