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Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Federal District

Top outcomes

Flavio Bolsonaro 86%
Other 50%
Candidate A 50%
Candidate B 50%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Federal District, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Federal District. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Federal District. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

$29K Vol. Closes Oct 4, 2026

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$29.1k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$29K Vol.

Flavio Bolsonaro

86% market probability

86%

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0 / 2,000

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Other

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Candidate A

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Candidate B

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Candidate C

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Candidate D

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Candidate E

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Candidate F

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Candidate G

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Candidate H

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Candidate I

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Candidate J

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Candidate K

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Candidate L

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Candidate M

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Candidate N

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Candidate O

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Candidate P

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Candidate Q

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Candidate R

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Candidate S

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Candidate T

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Candidate U

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Candidate V

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Candidate W

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Candidate X

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Candidate Y

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Candidate Z

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Lula

14% market probability

14%

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0 / 2,000

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Zema

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Samara

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Hertz Dias

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Renan Santos

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Pablo Marçal

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Clariana Barao

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Edmilson Costa

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Ronaldo Caiado

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Rui Costa Pimenta

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Escritor Augusto Cury

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Veterinário Wilson Grassi

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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