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F1 Drivers' Champion Where will Maxx Crosby play in 2026? Which party will win the House in 2026? World Cup Winner Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ? MLB World Series Champion 2026 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? MLS Cup Winner 2026 Highest grossing movie in 2026? Fed Decision in June? Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? US military action against Cuba by...? Russia nuclear test by...? Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...? Fed Decision in July? US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...? Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ?
Resolved Polymarket

Any departure from Tehran (IKA) by...?

Top outcomes

June 9 100%
June 10 100%
June 11 100%
June 12 100%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any flight departs from Imam Khomeini International Airport (IKA) between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". At least one departure must have occurred. An announcement that IKA has reopened alone will not qualify. Only the time of takeoff will be considered for this market. Gate departure will not count. The primary resolution source will be information from FlightAware (https://www.flightaware.com/live/airport/OIIE); however, information from IKA and Iranian government, including the Civil Aviation Authority of Iran, will be used.

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$276K Vol. Closes Jul 1, 2026
Resolved outcome: June 11

Live Polymarket Chart

Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$275.7k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$276K Vol.

June 9

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

June 10

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

June 11

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

June 12

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

June 30

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

June 15

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

June 8

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0
Forecasts are closed for this market.

Public forecast history

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No forecasts were placed before this market closed.