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Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Bankman-Fried receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump to issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

$659K Vol. Closes Jul 31, 2026

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No 100%
Yes 0%

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Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?

17 days left

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Market closes Jul 31, 2026

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