Resolved Polymarket

What will be said during the fifth episode of House of the Dragon: Season 3?

Top outcomes

Sword 100%
Kingdom 100%
Traitor 100%
Conquest 100%

Episode 5 of House of the Dragon Season 3 is scheduled to air on July 19, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if anyone says the listed term during the specified episode of House of the Dragon. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If this episode of House of the Dragon has not been released in its entirety by July 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has been released up to that point. If no episode has been released by this time, or if the release is otherwise definitively cancelled, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the initial release of the named episode of House of the Dragon. Reruns, re-releases, or transcripts which differ from the initially released episode will not be considered. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

$19K Vol. Closed Jul 19, 2026
Resolved outcome: Traitor

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All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$19K Vol.

Sword

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

Kingdom

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

Traitor

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

Conquest

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

King 10+ times

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

Queen 20+ times

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

Wine

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Peace

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Power

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Raven

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Defend

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Prayer

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Marriage

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Prophecy

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Surrender

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Dragon 20+ times

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

-No Qualifying Event-

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100
Forecasts are closed because this event has already started.

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