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Polymarket
Total commitments for the Credible public sale on MetaDAO
Top outcomes
>2M
100%
>4M
100%
>6M
100%
>8M
100%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if total commitments for the Credible raise on MetaDAO exceeds the number specified in the title before the raise closes. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the “committed” figure displayed on the official Credible sale page at https://www.metadao.fi/projects/credible/fundraise. If the displayed figure reaches the threshold at any point before August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of subsequent refunds or cancellations. If the sale is on hold and no commitment total is verifiable by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the raise event is otherwise cancelled or rescheduled to a time past that date, this market resolves to "No". If requisite information for this market’s resolution becomes permanently unavailable within this market’s timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the sale begins and is extended before the official closing time, commitments made during the extended period will count toward resolution.
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$484K Vol.
Closes Aug 31, 2026
Live Polymarket Chart
Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$484.0k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$484K Vol.
>2M
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
>4M
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on >4M
Explain your No on >4M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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>6M
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on >6M
Explain your No on >6M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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>8M
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on >8M
Explain your No on >8M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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>10M
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on >10M
Explain your No on >10M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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>12M
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on >12M
Explain your No on >12M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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>14M
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on >14M
Explain your No on >14M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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>16M
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on >16M
Explain your No on >16M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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>18M
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on >18M
Explain your No on >18M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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>20M
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on >20M
Explain your No on >20M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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>25M
93% market probability
93%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 93%
+7 / −93
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 7%
+93 / −7
Explain your Yes on >25M
Explain your No on >25M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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>30M
67% market probability
67%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 67%
+33 / −67
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 33%
+67 / −33
Explain your Yes on >30M
Explain your No on >30M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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>65M
48% market probability
48%
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
Yes 48%
+52 / −48
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
No 52%
+48 / −52
Explain your Yes on >65M
Explain your No on >65M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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>95M
46% market probability
46%
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
Yes 46%
+54 / −46
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
No 53%
+47 / −53
Explain your Yes on >95M
Explain your No on >95M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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>75M
46% market probability
46%
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
Yes 46%
+54 / −46
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
No 54%
+46 / −54
Explain your Yes on >75M
Explain your No on >75M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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>55M
40% market probability
40%
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
Yes 40%
+60 / −40
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
No 60%
+40 / −60
Explain your Yes on >55M
Explain your No on >55M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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>85M
38% market probability
38%
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
Yes 38%
+62 / −38
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
No 62%
+38 / −62
Explain your Yes on >85M
Explain your No on >85M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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>40M
36% market probability
36%
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
Yes 36%
+64 / −36
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
No 64%
+36 / −64
Explain your Yes on >40M
Explain your No on >40M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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>35M
34% market probability
34%
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
Yes 34%
+66 / −34
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
No 66%
+34 / −66
Explain your Yes on >35M
Explain your No on >35M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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>45M
22% market probability
22%
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
Yes 22%
+78 / −22
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
No 78%
+22 / −78
Explain your Yes on >45M
Explain your No on >45M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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>60M
14% market probability
14%
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
Yes 14%
+86 / −14
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
No 86%
+14 / −86
Explain your Yes on >60M
Explain your No on >60M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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>50M
14% market probability
14%
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
Yes 14%
+86 / −14
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
No 86%
+14 / −86
Explain your Yes on >50M
Explain your No on >50M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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>70M
10% market probability
10%
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
Yes 10%
+90 / −10
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
No 90%
+10 / −90
Explain your Yes on >70M
Explain your No on >70M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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>80M
8% market probability
8%
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
Yes 8%
+92 / −8
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
No 92%
+8 / −92
Explain your Yes on >80M
Explain your No on >80M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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>100M
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on >100M
Explain your No on >100M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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>90M
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on >90M
Explain your No on >90M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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