Forecasts closed Economy Polymarket

Brazil GDP Growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ)?

Top outcomes

0.3%–0.5% 40%
0.6%–0.8% 36%
≥1.5% 26%
0.9%–1.1% 18%

This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the prior quarter (GDP at market prices, %) in the 1st quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for release on May 29, 2026. The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html

$20K Vol. Closed Jun 3, 2026

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$19.9k Vol.

All outcomes

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$20K Vol.

0.3%–0.5%

40% market probability

40%
Yes 40% +60 / −40 No 60% +40 / −60

0.6%–0.8%

36% market probability

36%
Yes 36% +64 / −36 No 64% +36 / −64

≥1.5%

26% market probability

26%
Yes 26% +74 / −26 No 74% +26 / −74

0.9%–1.1%

18% market probability

18%
Yes 18% +82 / −18 No 82% +18 / −82

<0.0%

11% market probability

11%
Yes 11% +89 / −11 No 89% +11 / −89

0.0%–0.2%

4% market probability

4%
Yes 4% +96 / −4 No 96% +4 / −96

1.2%–1.4%

3% market probability

3%
Yes 3% +97 / −3 No 97% +3 / −97
Forecasts are closed because this event has already started.

Public forecast history

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