Open
Crypto
Polymarket
Bitcoin above ___ on July 15?
Top outcomes
52,000
100%
54,000
100%
56,000
100%
58,000
99%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
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$185K Vol.
Closes Jul 15, 2026
Live Polymarket Chart
Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$184.9k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$185K Vol.
52,000
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
54,000
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on 54,000
Explain your No on 54,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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56,000
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on 56,000
Explain your No on 56,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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58,000
99% market probability
99%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 99%
+1 / −99
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 1%
+99 / −1
Explain your Yes on 58,000
Explain your No on 58,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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60,000
93% market probability
93%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 93%
+7 / −93
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 7%
+93 / −7
Explain your Yes on 60,000
Explain your No on 60,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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62,000
60% market probability
60%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 60%
+40 / −60
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 40%
+60 / −40
Explain your Yes on 62,000
Explain your No on 62,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
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64,000
14% market probability
14%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 14%
+86 / −14
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 86%
+14 / −86
Explain your Yes on 64,000
Explain your No on 64,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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66,000
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on 66,000
Explain your No on 66,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
68,000
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 68,000
Explain your No on 68,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
70,000
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 70,000
Explain your No on 70,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
72,000
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 72,000
Explain your No on 72,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
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