Open
Polymarket
2026 Bangsamoro Parliament Election: Party Winner
Top outcomes
UBJP
78%
Other
50%
Party A
50%
Party B
50%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections.
If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).
Read more
Show less
Live Polymarket Chart
Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
Open on Polymarket ↗
The chart is view-only. Use Open on Polymarket above to visit the market — no trading on this platform.
$18.8k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$19K Vol.
UBJP
78% market probability
78%
Yes 78%
+22 / −78
No 22%
+78 / −22
Other
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Party A
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Party B
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Party C
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Party D
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Party E
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Party F
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Party G
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Party H
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Party I
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Party J
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Party K
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Party L
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Party M
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Party N
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Party O
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Party P
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Party Q
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Party R
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Party S
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Party T
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Party U
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Party V
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Party W
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Party X
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Party Y
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Party Z
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
BFP
14% market probability
14%
Yes 14%
+86 / −14
No 86%
+14 / −86
RSEU
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
ROHOSUPA
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
MAHARDIKA
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
BGC
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
BAPA
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
THE ROYALS
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
ISLPI
2% market probability
2%
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
No 98%
+2 / −98
Election Postponed/Canceled
2% market probability
2%
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
No 98%
+2 / −98
PBB
2% market probability
2%
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
No 98%
+2 / −98
ABOT
2% market probability
2%
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
No 98%
+2 / −98
PRO BANGSAMORO PARTY
2% market probability
2%
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
No 98%
+2 / −98
C4P
2% market probability
2%
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
No 98%
+2 / −98
RSL
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
MUSHAWARA
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
ROHOSUMA
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
MORO AKO
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
TPWC
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
DTLO
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
ISAMA
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
BEST PARTY
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
RAAYAT DEMOCRATIC PARTY
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
LBIAA
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Public forecast history
All forecasts on this market — scored on Reputation when resolved. Earn Popularity when others like your forecast or comments.
No forecasts yet. Be the first to place one.
