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NH-01 Republican Primary Winner
Top outcomes
Anthony DiLorenzo
76%
Hollie Noveletsky
24%
Melissa Bailey
1%
Brian Cole
1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
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$91K Vol.
Closes Sep 8, 2026
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$91.3k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$91K Vol.
Anthony DiLorenzo
76% market probability
76%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 76%
+24 / −76
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 24%
+76 / −24
Hollie Noveletsky
24% market probability
24%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 24%
+76 / −24
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 76%
+24 / −76
Explain your Yes on Hollie Noveletsky
Explain your No on Hollie Noveletsky
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Melissa Bailey
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Melissa Bailey
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Brian Cole
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
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Explain your No on Brian Cole
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Elizabeth Girard
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Elizabeth Girard
Explain your No on Elizabeth Girard
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Public forecast history
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