Open Science & Tech Polymarket

Precipitation in Seattle in May?

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for May 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of May 2026. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

$5K Vol. Closes May 31, 2026

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$4.8k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$5K Vol.

0.5-1"

65% market probability

65%
Yes 65% +35 / −65 No 35% +65 / −35

1-1.5"

26% market probability

26%
Yes 26% +74 / −26 No 74% +26 / −74

1.5-2"

5% market probability

5%
Yes 5% +95 / −5 No 95% +5 / −95

2-2.5"

1% market probability

1%
Yes 1% +99 / −1 No 99% +1 / −99

2.5-3"

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

>3"

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

<0.5"

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100
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Public forecast history

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