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Precipitation in Hong Kong in May?

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between May 1 and May 31, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory. The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in May 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the relevant data is not available by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

$72K Vol. Closes May 31, 2026

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$72.1k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$72K Vol.

230-240mm

51% market probability

51%
Yes 51% +49 / −51 No 49% +51 / −49

240mm+

31% market probability

31%
Yes 31% +69 / −31 No 69% +31 / −69

220-230mm

15% market probability

15%
Yes 15% +85 / −15 No 85% +15 / −85

210-220mm

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

<180mm

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

180-190mm

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

190-200mm

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

200-210mm

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100
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Public forecast history

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