Markets
All markets
Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket and Kalshi, no betting.
All categories
0
0 (0 bps)
↓ 1,000
↓ 10,000
↑ 100,000
↑ 1,000,000
100-110mm
100-119
<100mm
10 (250 bps)
↑ 105,000
<1.0T
1.0T–1.2T
↑ 110,000
1.10–1.14ºC
110-120mm
<1.10ºC
11 (275 bps)
↑ 115,000
1.15–1.19ºC
115-139
↓ 1,200
↑ 120,000
1.20–1.24ºC
120-139
12+ (300+ bps)
1.25–1.29ºC
1 (25 bps)
>1.29ºC
1.2T–1.4T
↑ 130,000
140
↓ 1,400
↑ 140,000
140-159
140-164
1.4T–1.6T
↓ 15,000
↑ 150,000
↓ 1,600
1,600
↑ 160,000
160-179
165-189
1.6T–1.8T
1,700
↑ 170,000
↓ 1,800
1,800
↑ 180,000
180-199
1.8T–2.0T
1,900
↑ 190,000
190-214
1M+
1st hottest
<20
20+
2000
↓ 2,000
2,000
↓ 20,000
↑ 200,000
2,000-2,100
200-219
$200M
20-39
2.0T+
2,100
215-239
2200
2,200
220-239
2,300
240+
2400
2,400
240-259
2,500
↓ 25,000
↑ 250,000
2 (50 bps)
25 bps decrease
25 bps increase
↑ 2,600
2,600
260-279
26°C or higher
↑ 2,800
280-299
2nd hottest
↑ 3,000
↓ 30,000
300-319
↑ 3,200
320-339
↑ 3,400
340-359
↓ 35,000
↑ 3,600
360-379
3 (75 bps)
↑ 3,800
380-399
3rd hottest
<40
40+
↓ 400
↑ 4,000
↓ 40,000
400-419
$400M
40-59
40-64
4 (100 bps)
420-439
440-459
↓ 45,000
460-479
480-499
4th or lower
500+
↑ 5,000
↓ 5,000
↓ 50,000
↑ 500,000
50+ bps decrease
50+ bps increase
$50M
5 (125 bps)
↓ 55,000
60+
↓ 600
↓ 60,000
60-79
6 (150 bps)
↓ 64,000
↓ 65,000
65-89
↓ 66,000
66,000
<68,000
↓ 68,000
68,000
68,000-70,000
↓ 69,000
7
↓ 70,000
70,000
70,000-72,000
↓ 71,000
7 (175 bps)
↓ 72,000
72,000
72,000-74,000
↓ 72,500
↓ 73,000
↓ 74,000
74,000
74,000-76,000
↑ 75,000
$755
76,000
76,000-78,000
↑ 77,000
↑ 77,500
↑ 78,000
78,000
78,000-80,000
↑ 79,000
8+
80+
↓ 800
↑ 80,000
80,000
80,000-82,000
80-90
80-99
↑ 81,000
↑ 82,000
82,000
82,000-84,000
8 (200 bps)
↑ 83,000
↑ 84,000
84,000
84,000-86,000
85%
↑ 85,000
>86,000
↑ 86,000
86,000
↑ 88,000
88,000
90%
↑ 90,000
90-114
↑ 92,000
9 (225 bps)
↑ 95,000
Abbas Araghchi
Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani
Ahmad Vahidi
AI / Artificial Intelligence
Aiemann Zahabi
Alexander Albon
Alexander Volkanovski
Alexandre Pantoja
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Algeria
Ali Asghar Hejazi
Ali Motahari
Alireza Arafi
Alphabet
Amazon
América de Cali
Amir Ohana
Amorim to win by KO/TKO?
Andrew Yang
Andy Beshear
Anthropic
Any Player Penta Kill
Any Player Quadra Kill
Any Player Rampage
Any Player Ultra Kill
Apple
Argentina
Arsenal FC
Arvid Lindblad
Ass
August 31
Australia
Austria
Avengers: Doomsday
Avigdor Lieberman
Ayelet Shaked
Barack Obama
Barcelona SC
Before 2027
Belgium
Benjamin Netanyahu
Benny Gantz
Bernie Sanders
Beto O’Rourke
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Bosnia-Herzegovina
Both Teams Beat Roshan
Both Teams Destroy Barracks
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors
Both Teams Slay a Dragon
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor
Both Teams to Score
Brazil
Brian Kemp
Broadcom
by December 31, 2026
by June 30, 2026
Byron Donalds
ByteDance
CA Boca Juniors
Canada
Candace Owens
Cape Verde
Carlos Sainz Jr.
CA Tigre
CDP Junior FC
CD Universidad Católica
Charles Leclerc
Charlie / Kirk 5+ times
Chelsea Clinton
Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5
Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 13.5
Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 7.5
Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5
Chris Murphy
Club Alianza Atlético
Club Cerro Porteño
Colombia
Company A
Company B
Company C
Company D
Company E
Company F
Company G
Company H
Company I
Company J
Company K
Company L
Company M
Company N
Company O
Company P
Company Q
Company R
Company S
Company T
Completed Match
Congo DR
Cory Booker
Cory Sandhagen
Croatia
Crusaders
Cruzeiro EC
Crypto
CS Cristal
CSyD Macará
Curaçao
Czechia
Databricks
De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5
De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5
December 31
December 31
December 31, 2026
December 31, 2027
Deiveson Figueiredo
Devin Vassell: Assists O/U 0.5
Devin Vassell: Points O/U 2.5
Devin Vassell: Points O/U 3.5
Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 1.5
Discord
Donald Trump
Donald Trump Jr.
Draw
Draw (América de Cali vs. CSyD Macará)
Draw (Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. North Macedonia)
Draw (CA Boca Juniors vs. CD Universidad Católica)
Draw (CA Tigre vs. Club Alianza Atlético)
Draw (Club Cerro Porteño vs. CS Cristal)
Draw (Cruzeiro EC vs. Barcelona SC)
Draw (Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid)
Draw (Egypt vs. Russia)
Draw (IR Iran vs. Gambia)
Draw (Ismaily SC vs. Pharco FC)
Draw (Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC)
Draw (Nice vs. Saint-Etienne)
Draw (Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC)
Draw (Petrojet SC vs. El Gouna SC)
Draw (Republic of Ireland vs. Qatar)
Draw (Rosenborg BK vs. FK Bodø/Glimt)
Draw (SE Palmeiras vs. CDP Junior FC)
Draw (Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Wadi Degla SC)
Driver A
Driver B
Driver C
Driver D
Driver E
Driver F
Driver G
Driver H
Driver I
Dune: Messiah
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
Economy
Ecuador
Egypt
El Gouna SC
Elise Stefanik
Elon Musk
Ends in Daytime
England
Enrichment of Uranium
Eric Trump
Erika Kirk
Esteban Ocon
FBI
February 28
Fernando Alonso
Fighter A
Fighter B
Fighter C
Fighter D
Fighter E
Fighter F
Fighter G
Fighter H
Fighter I
Fighter J
Fighter K
Fighter L
Fighter M
Fighter N
Fighter O
Fighter P
Fighter Q
Fighter R
Fighter S
Fighter T
Fighter U
Fighter V
Fighter W
Fighter X
Fighter Y
Fighter Z
Fight to Go the Distance?
Fight won by KO/TKO?
Fight won by submission?
FK Bodø/Glimt
France
Franco Colapinto
Frank Donovan
Gabriel Bortoleto
Gadi Eizenkot
Gambia
Gavin Newsom
George Clooney
George Russell
Germany
Ghana
Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel
Gideon Sa’ar
Gina Raimondo
Glenn Youngkin
Graham Platner
Greg Abbott
Gretchen Whitmer
Grigor Dimitrov
Haiti
Hassan Khomeini
Hassan Rouhani
Hassan Shariatmadari
Henry to win by KO/TKO?
Hillary Clinton
Hunter Biden
Hurricanes
Iran
Iraq
Ireland
IR Iran
Isack Hadjar
Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 0.5
Isaiah Hartenstein: Points O/U 1.5
Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 2.5
Ismaily SC
Israel Katz
Itamar Ben Gvir
Ivanka Trump
Ivory Coast
Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 2.5
Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 3.5
Jalen Williams: Points O/U 13.5
Jalen Williams: Points O/U 7.5
Jalen Williams: Points O/U 8.5
Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 2.5
Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5
James Talarico
Jamie Dimon
January 31
Japan
Jared McCain: Assists O/U 0.5
Jared McCain: Rebounds O/U 0.5
Jared Polis
Jasmine Crockett
J.B. Pritzker
JB Pritzker
J.D. Vance
JD Vance
Joe Kent
John Fetterman
John Thune
Jon Ossoff
Jon Stewart
Jordan
Josh Hawley
Josh Shapiro
Julian Champagnie: Assists O/U 0.5
Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 2.5
Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 1.5
July 31
June 15
June 3
June 30
June 30, 2026
June 7
Kamala Harris
Katie Britt
Kimi Antonelli
Kim Kardashian
Kraken
Kristi Noem
Lance Stroll
Lando Norris
LeBron James
Lewis Hamilton
Liam Lawson
Liaoning Tieren FC
Liz Cheney
Lookboonmee to win by KO/TKO?
Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5
Luguentz Dort: Points O/U 0.5
Luguentz Dort: Rebounds O/U 0.5
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad
Marco Rubio
Marjorie Taylor Greene
Mark Cuban
Mark Kelly
Maryam Rajavi
Masoud Pezeshkian
Massoud Rajavi
Matt Gaetz
Max Verstappen
May 24
May 25
May 26
May 27
May 28
May 29
May 30
May 31
May 31, 2026
Mexico
Michael
Michelle Obama
Microsoft
Mike Pence
Minions & Monsters
Mitchell to win by KO/TKO?
Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf
Mohammad Khatami
Mohsen Araki
Mojtaba Khamenei
Morocco
Moshe Feiglin
Mostafa Pourmohammadi
Movie E
Movie G
Movie I
Movie K
Movie M
Movie O
MrBeast
Muhammad Mirbaqiri
Mustafa Hijri
Naftali Bennett
Nasir Hosseini
Navid Shomali
Netherlands
NewJeans
New York Knicks
New Zealand
Nice
Nico Hülkenberg
Nikki Haley
Nir Barkat
No change
No Head of State
No IPO before 2028
North Macedonia
Norway
NRFI
NVIDIA
o
Oil Sanction Relief
Oklahoma City Thunder
Oliver Bearman
OpenAI
Oprah Winfrey
Oscar Piastri
Other
p
Panama
Paraguay
Paris Saint-Germain FC
Payton Talbott
Pedro Munhoz
Perplexity AI
Person AA
Person AB
Person AC
Person AD
Person AE
Person AF
Person AG
Person AH
Person AI
Person AJ
Person AK
Person AL
Person AM
Person AN
Person AO
Person AP
Person AQ
Person AR
Person AS
Person AT
Person AU
Person AV
Person AW
Person AX
Person AY
Person AZ
Person BA
Person BB
Person BC
Person BD
Person BE
Person BF
Person BG
Person BH
Person BI
Person BJ
Person BK
Person BL
Person BM
Person BN
Person BO
Person BP
Person BQ
Person BR
Person BS
Person BT
Person BU
Person BV
Person BW
Person BX
Person BY
Person BZ
Person CA
Person CB
Person CC
Person CD
Person CE
Person CF
Person CG
Person CH
Person CI
Person CJ
Person CK
Person CL
Person CM
Person CN
Person CO
Person CP
Person CQ
Person CR
Person CS
Person CT
Person CU
Person CV
Person CW
Person CX
Person CY
Person CZ
Person DA
Person DB
Person F
Person G
Person H
Person I
Person J
Person K
Person L
Person M
Person N
Person O
Person P
Person Q
Person R
Person S
Person T
Person U
Person V
Person W
Person X
Person Y
Person Z
Pete Buttigieg
Pete Hegseth
Petrojet SC
Petr Yan
Pharco FC
Phil Murphy
Pierre Gasly
Placeholder A
Placeholder AA
Placeholder AB
Placeholder AC
Placeholder AD
Placeholder AE
Placeholder AF
Placeholder AG
Placeholder AH
Placeholder AI
Placeholder AJ
Placeholder AK
Placeholder AL
Placeholder AM
Placeholder AN
Placeholder AO
Placeholder AP
Placeholder AQ
Placeholder AR
Placeholder AS
Placeholder AT
Placeholder AU
Placeholder AV
Placeholder AW
Placeholder AX
Placeholder AY
Placeholder AZ
Placeholder B
Placeholder BA
Placeholder BB
Placeholder BC
Placeholder BD
Placeholder BE
Placeholder BF
Placeholder BG
Placeholder BH
Placeholder C
Placeholder D
Placeholder E
Placeholder F
Placeholder G
Placeholder H
Placeholder I
Placeholder J
Placeholder K
Placeholder L
Placeholder M
Placeholder N
Placeholder O
Placeholder P
Placeholder Q
Placeholder R
Placeholder S
Placeholder T
Placeholder U
Placeholder V
Placeholder W
Placeholder X
Placeholder Y
Placeholder Z
Politics
Pop Culture
Portugal
Project Hail Mary
q
Qatar
r
Rahm Emanuel
Rand Paul
Raphael Warnock
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Republic of Ireland
Revolut
Reza Pahlavi
Reza Pirzadeh
Richard Grenell
Ricky Simón
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Rob Font
Ro Khanna
Ron DeSantis
Rosenborg BK
Roy Cooper
Ruben Gallego
Russia
s
Sadegh Larijani
Sadegh Mahsouli
Saeed Jalili
Saint-Etienne
San Antonio Spurs
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
Saudi Arabia
Saudi Aramco
Science & Tech
Scotland
Scream 7
Sean O'Malley
Senegal
SE Palmeiras
September 30
Sergio Perez
Sergio Pérez
Seyed Hossein Mousavian
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 8.5
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5
Shanghai Haigang FC
SHEIN
Song Yadong
South Africa
South Korea
SpaceX
Spain
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
Sports
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu
Stephen A. Smith
Stephen Smith
Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5
Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 7.5
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 17.5
Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5
Steve Bannon
Stripe
Sweden
Switzerland
t
Tala'ea El Gaish SC
Team AG
Team AH
Team AI
Team AJ
Team AK
Team AL
Team AM
Team AN
Team AO
Ted Cruz
Tesla
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
The Odyssey
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
Thomas Massie
Tim Walz
Tom Brady
Toy Story 5
Transit Fees in the Strait of Hormuz
Tucker Carlson
Tulsi Gabbard
Tunisia
Turkiye
Twice
u
Umar Nurmagomedov
Unfreeze Iranian Assets
Uruguay
USA
Uzbekistan
Valtteri Bottas
Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5
Vivek Ramaswamy
Wadi Degla SC
Waymo
Wes Moore
Wicked: For Good
World
Wuthering Heights
xAI
Yair Golan
Yair Lapid
Yariv Levin
Yoaz Hendel
Yossi Cohen
Zohran Mamdani
Will Company T be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Odds unavailable
Polymarket
Company T
Will Company T be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Odds unavailable
Polymarket
Company T
Will Company T be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Odds unavailable
Polymarket
Company T