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2026 NBA Draft: 4th Overall Pick
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player is drafted fourth overall in the 2026 NBA Draft. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 NBA Draft is canceled, postponed or not completed by July 9, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$135.8k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$136K Vol.
Caleb Wilson
66% market probability
66%
Yes 66%
+34 / −66
No 34%
+66 / −34
Cameron Boozer
18% market probability
18%
Yes 18%
+82 / −18
No 82%
+18 / −82
Darryn Peterson
4% market probability
4%
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
No 96%
+4 / −96
Will Quaintance
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
Darius Acuff Jr.
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
Yaxel Lendeborg
2% market probability
2%
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
No 98%
+2 / −98
Hannes Steinbach
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Karim Lopez
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Kingston Flemings
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
AJ Dybantsa
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Keaton Wagler
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Mikel Brown Jr.
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
LaBaron Philon
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Bennett Stirtz
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Nate Ament
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
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